So that time of year has come where keeper-leaguers are looking at their rosters wondering which of their guys are worthy of keeping. What some GMs, if not most, don’t really understand is that the price at which you would have to keep them is the primary issue. You will talk to some GMs and they will say, “But he hit 25 Hrs at SS, hes a no brainer!”. Well thats fine unless it is going to cost you $38 to keep him. There are keepers, there are bargains, and there are keepers that are bargains. Knowing the difference between them can save you a bunch of cash. The goal obviously is to obtain as many keepers that are bargains as you can from year to year. This will maximize your cash, while still giving you talent to build a winning team around. Over the next few days I’ll go over all the positions in order to highlight the guys you should be focusing on when making these decisions.
Catcher- A thin position at the top, but after that a lot of the same. Martin and Martinezare really the only two no-brainers at this position. Having either one offers you a real advantage over the majority of the league which is thinking, “I’ll get two cheap catchers since they don’t really matter anyway.” Hey, they could be right. A smart GM could find two quality guys with upside for relatively little money. Catchers are beat on all year long, so it is true that it is a dangerous position to invest heavily in. But if you can get one of these two guys for a reasonable price they can pay real dividends. The next group at catcher can be tempting. Mauer, McCann, Posada have all been kept in the past, and all have the potential to render same kind of value that the top group does. I’ll tell ya, at least one of them will. The trick is not to pay the same price as you would have to in order to get Martin or Martinez. If you see the top tier as having a 90% chance of putting up the numbers you expect, then this group is closer to 75%. So pay accordingly. There are a bunch of sleepers that we will get into in later articles, but for keeper purposes, these are the guys that really matter.
1B- This position is tricky. There is a lot of upside and power is a sexy thing that can draw a GM into taking chances on upside. It also sucks to get caught without at least one real power guy that you can depend on for 35ish Hrs or more. My top tier consists of Pujols, Fielder, Howard, Teixeira, Berkman, andMorneau.
There are certainly other guys that have the potential to join that group based on what they have done in the past, but these are the guys worth the big bucks. Big power with a high percentage chance to do what you think they will. Certainly, the second tier also can put up great numbers, and I’m sure that some of them will outshine some of the top tier in the coming year. I would not, however, pay the same for; Pena, Konerko, D.Lee, A. Gonzalez, or Delgado. Whether it is age, inconsistency, or injury problems, they all have significantly lesser chance to put up top tier stats. If you can keep them for cheap, then go right ahead. But if you paid for Konerko or Delgado based on their numbers when at their prime you should let them go and try to get them cheaper in the draft.
I will be going over the rest of the positions over the next few days. Feel free to post comments and opinions on these players and what you think are their chances of producing at keeper type levels.