Sleepers - Part 2
Monday, February 25th, 2008Jay Bruce (OF) Reds - Well, he got some bad news when Dusty Baker said that he wants either
Ryan Freel or Norris Hopperin the lineup every day. In a position battle for center, those are the two guys he is battling. While in the past Freel would occasionally spell infielders in addition to the time he got in center, now it looks like the IF positions have been nailed down by everyday starters. Bruce is only 21 and made the cover of Baseball America last year as their minor league player of the year. So ultra-sleeper he is not. At this point he may not even break camp with the team. In order to win a job he is going to have to cut down on the Ks, hit lefties better, and have some serious luck. Confidence Level: 4 (more…)
Just because a magazine that you bought in early February says that some shmoe is going to take the league by storm doesn’t even mean that he is guaranteed a look in the spring. Talent is one thing, the opportunity to show it is another. With this in mind, here is my first list of sleepers. These are guys that should be on your radar, but only in order to track their progress over the spring. Whether or not they win jobs we may not know for a while. Each of these guys comes with a “Confidence Level”. This should give you an idea how assured they are to acheive a full season of at-bats.
With my baseball teams, I know sometimes it feels as thought this would be the better course of action. So in that spirit I have come up with my list of opposite instincts. A list of actions that I would be forced to see through if I were to take this theory to heart. I bring to you “The Costanza List“.

There are situational factors on which the repeated production of those stats depend. In the end, you have a complex formula of stats and situations that renders a value for each player. What good is that player you are being offered going to do you if he doesn’t get a full season of at-bats? Often times GMs in your league that aren’t as involved (or obsessed) with their fantasy teams don’t really understand the context surrounding the stats. It isn’t their fault that they don’t eat, drink, and sleep fantasy baseball. And for those of you out there reading this that aren’t the total fantasy geek, pay attention to some of these factors, cause they will help you understand the numbers and therefore your team better.